Its hard to be certain but according to the latest polls, the electoral map is likely going look something like this tomorrow. An Obama sweep with 320 electoral votes against McCain’s 220 but it all hinges on turnout. 

I predict Florida for Obama by a small margin but I could be wrong. There are a lot of conflicting polls in Florida but I think Obama’s campaign registered enough new voters to pull it off. Lawsuits are already flying over allegations of GOP voter caging so who knows, it might be really close. 

Missouri is another state where I could be wrong. Right now I am calling it for McCain but it could go in Obama’s column if turnout in St. Louis is higher then anticipated by polls. 

Ohio is also a state that’s hard to predict. Lots of conflicting polling, CNN says McCain is winning but some polls say otherwise. Obama did outspend McCain on ads in that state, by as much as 10 million. However, I still remember his performance there in the primaries so I don’t want to be overly optimistic. 

Indiana, Ohio, North Carolina, Montana, and North Dakota could also flip for Obama. There are also scenarios where Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, and Virginia could go for McCain. It all depends on turnout. Since almost everyone agrees that McCain’s chances of winning are low, Republican voters could simply stay home to avoid the long lineups. On the other hand, if turnout falls short on the democratic side among key demographics and newly registered voters, there is still that possibility that McCain could steal it.

There are also concerns over the possibility of massive voter fraud caused by faulty electronic voter machines or some other schemes. I hope that will not happen but the concern is significant enough to warrant attention and I know both Obama and McCain have a large army of lawyers sitting in the bunkers, ready to go at it. 

If you want to run through several scenarios yourself, CNN got a great tool online.