What do the following states have in common? 

Florida - 27 electoral votes

Ohio - 20 electoral votes

Missouri - 11 electoral votes

Nevada - 5 electoral votes

They all went for Clinton in 1996 so they have a history of voting democratic. They are also too close to call at this point. In CNN poll of poll’s, Obama leads in Florida by 4%, in Nevada by 2%. In Missouri, McCain is leading by 1%, in Ohio by 2%.

So what does Obama do in the last 2 weeks of campaigning? Well, on Oct. 9th and 10th he already had about 5 events in Ohio. On Saturday he went to Missouri and set record attendance in St. Louis. Now its time to go all out in Florida. I expect he will be spending a lot of time there with Hillary Clinton and Bill Richardson. Why? Florida has early voting now. Obama has the biggest lead in Florida in comparison to other swing states. Florida has the highest electoral vote count in comparison to other swing states. Basically, I doubt it has anything to do with the nice weather. 

Here is the icing on the cake, even if he looses all of those swing states, he should still have enough electoral votes to win. However, it will be way too close for comfort if things go down that road. Against Clinton, Obama had trouble at the finish line. If he improves his standing in Florida next week by a few percentage points, the likelihood of him winning will go from “excellent” to “its really over folks, nothing more to see here.” Florida is where Obama needs to prove that he can finish strong.