As expected, no clear winner from Tuesday’s primaries. Clinton may lead in terms of total delegates but only due to “super delegates” who can change sides at any given point due to their special status in the party.
Last nights results do reveal something important. Obama does better than Clinton in typically conservative states and Clinton does really well in the Latino vote.
In the days to come, Obama has more money left over and primaries in the states where he typically does better then Clinton.
Another interesting result, Obama did better in Clinton’s home state than she did in his which resulted in more delegates for Obama.
With a large pool of delegates still on the line, Obama must now win and win big in order to make up the gap. For Clinton to win, she needs to hang on and ride out the next couple of primaries.
Unless Obama starts to win in larger than expected margins, the race looks more and more likely to come down to super delegates…. which means, Clinton is likely to be the favorite to win.
One dangerous consequence for Clinton winning due to super delegates who are basically ex-officio voters, is that the more legitimate movement that Obama had built may simply get frustrated with the process. Not good news for Clinton if she plans on winning not only the nomination but the actual race for president because Obama will be considered a more democratically elected candidate because he is likely to have a higher count in pledged delegates.
Edwards may also pick a side and swing either of the candidates towards victory. I suspect he is looking for the candidate who will boost him to the VP position.
Now would be a good time for Democratic elites to get Obama & Clinton on the same ticket before this primary race spins out of control, a mess that can actually hurt the Democrats in the actual election for President of United States because republicans have already picked their nominee, General McCain.













No Comment
Random Post
Leave Your Comments Below